Burnley v Aston Villa | Match Preview, Odds and Prediction
Burnley welcome Aston Villa to Turf Moor in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon, but the newly-promoted Clarets are underdogs to get a result even with home advantage. Burnley suffered a heavy home defeat in their opening game of the season and face a Villa side coming off the back of emphatic victories in the league and Europe. Aston Villa are 6/5 with 10 Bet To Win.
Villa had a bad start to the season, losing heavily in their first league outing of the campaign, but they recovered well with a big win of their own and could move up the table with a win on Sunday. Unai Emery’s men are coming off the back of a fantastic 2022/23 campaign but were fallible on the road with more defeats than wins, so Burnley might fancy their chances of getting off the mark. Burnley are 5/2 with Bet Victor To Win.
Burnley actually has a good record in head-to-heads with Villa, winning two and drawing four of their last eight clashes, so Burnley and Villa are 13/5 with SkyBet To Draw. The Clarets were solid on home soil too, losing just once at Turf Moor last season while conceding only 0.65 goals per game, so Total Away Goals Under 1.5 is 4/5 with Boyle Sports. Burnley scored 2.1 goals per game at home, so Total Home Goals Over 1.5 is 21/20 with 888 Sport.
Although Villa shipped five goals in their opening game this season, they did boast the joint-5th defensive record in 2022/23, so they surely won’t be easy to break down. That being said, the Claret and Blues shipped 1.3 goals per game on the road, so Burnley could find the back of the net. And with Emery’s men scoring five in their first two games of the new campaign, Both Teams To Score is 8/11 with Betfair while Total Goals Over 2.5 is 5/6 with Matchbook.
Burnley’s one to watch is Manuel Benson. The 26-year-old, who scored 12 goals with three assists from 33 league games last season, is 11/1 with Bet 365 to be the First Goalscorer and 4/1 with Bet 365 to Score Anytime. New boy Zeki Amdouni is another dangerous player for the Clarets. The 22-year-old, who scored 22 goals from 52 games last season, is 17/2 with Unibet to be First Goalscorer and 18/5 with Unibet to Score Anytime.
Villa’s one to watch is Ollie Watkins. The 27-year-old, who scored 15 goals from 37 league games last season and has three goals from as many games this campaign, is 5/1 with SkyBet to be the First Goalscorer and 9/5 with William Hill to Score Anytime.
Moussa Diaby is Villa’s next-best goal threat with nine goals and nine assists from 33 Bundesliga games for his former club Bayer Leverkusen. He’s already scored in the Premier League too. The 24-year-old is 7/1 with Bet 365 to be the First Goalscorer and 13/5 with Bet 365 to Score Anytime.
Burnley lost their last home clash with Villa in 2022 but did draw at Villa Park less than two weeks later, so they’ll be competitive in front of their own supporters on Sunday.
Prediction: Burnley 1-1 Aston Villa
