Burnley v Man City | Match Preview, What Odds To Bet On and Prediction

The Premier League is finally back, so Odds To Bet On are covering every opening-day game – all 20 clubs are playing between Friday, August 11 and Monday, August 14. Odds To Bet On has used Oddschecker to get the best returns.

The 2023/24 campaign kicks off with newly-promoted Burnley hosting defending champions Manchester City at Turf Moor on Friday. Clarets manager Vincent Kompany will come up against Pep Guardiola and would love to get one over his former manager at the Etihad Stadium. 

Burnley won the Championship title last season with 101 points from 46 games. They lost only three times and conceded 35 goals, so Kompany’s men are no slouches. Burnley had the best home record in the second tier, losing just once in front of their supporters, so City shouldn’t expect an easy opener. 

The Clarets scored more than two goals per home game while conceding fewer than one goal each outing at Turf Moor. Burnley are 9/2 with Bet 365 to score more than 1.5 goals against the Sky Blues. City are big favourites to come out on top, however, after winning the title by five points. 

Guardiola’s men lost on the final day when the title was sewn up, but they had gone 16 games without defeat prior to that. City are 1/3 with VBet to win against Burnley as a result. They had the second-best away record in the league too, boasting 1.8 goals per away game while conceding fewer than one per match on the road. 

City are 11/8 with 10 Bet to score Over 1.5 Goals, but who could be getting on the scoresheet? Erling Haaland bagged 36 league goals for City last season and is 12/5 with Betfair to Score First. Jay Rodriguez was Burnley’s go-to man in 2022/23 with 10 goals from 20 league starts and is 14/1 with Sky Bet to Score First.

Burnley are a strong outfit and has a home advantage, but they have the worst head-to-head record with City. The Clarets haven’t beaten the Sky Blues since 2015 and only have one win over the Mancunians since the 1970s. Not only does Burnley frequently lose this fixture, they tend to get thrashed.

City beat Burnley 6-0 in last season’s FA Cup quarter-finals and have thrashed them 5-0 on four occasions since 2018. Guardiola’s men have scored two or more goals against Burnley in each of their last eight head-to-heads across the board.

City are 6/1 with Bet 365 to win 2-0 and are 15/1 with Sporting Index to win 4-0, but Burnley aren’t frequently silenced in their own backyard. Last season, Kompany’s men were shut out just once at Turf Moor, so Burnley and Man City are 21/20 with Betfair for Both Teams to Score.

Burnley have been solid at home in the last year, so they’ll believe they can silence the defending champions – the Clarets are 19/2 with Bet Victor to beat City. Guardiola’s side have too much firepower and a striker that could not stop scoring last season, so it’s hard not to see them score at least one – City are 17/2 with Bet 365 to win 2-1 with Haaland being 8/11 with VBet to Score Anytime.

Prediction: Burnley 1-2 Man City

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