Deportivo Alaves v Sevilla | Match Preview, Odds and Prediction

Newly-promoted Deportivo Alaves welcome Sevilla to the Mendizorrotza Stadium on Monday evening and there’s a lot riding on the result as the loser could find themselves bottom of the table. Alaves aren’t fancied to get a result after losing their opening game to Cadiz and could be in for a long season due to the gulf in class from the Segunda Division.

Sevilla also came unstuck to high-flyers Valencia last week, but they’re favourites to pick up all three points. José Luis Mendilibar’s side have a dominant head-to-head record against Alaves down the years, so bookmakers believe this will go the way of the formbook.

Alaves won promotion to La Liga last season, suffering only one defeat while conceding 11 goals from 21 games on home soil, so they’re no slouches. Babazorros El Glorioso are 5/2 with Bet UK To Win against Sevilla. Alaves drew 33% of their league games in 2022/23, so a stalemate can’t be ruled out. Alaves and Sevilla are 11/5 with BetWay To Draw. That being said, only six teams lost fewer away games than Sevilla last season, so the visitors are 17/12 with VBet To Win.

Luis Rioja was Alaves’ top goalscorer in 2022/23, contributing 14 goals from 38 league games, so he’s one to watch against Sevilla. The 29-year-old is 14/1 with Unibet to be First Goalscorer and 13/2 with Unibet to Score Anytime. Miguel De la Fuente, who was second in the scoring charts with four goals and four assists last season, is 23/2 with Bet UK to be First Goalscorer and 23/4 with Unibet to Score Anytime.

Sevilla finished 12th in La Liga with slightly more defeats (15) than victories (13) but are still a tough opponent with a strong squad. Los Rojiblancos averaged 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.4 goals on average, so Both Teams To Score is 6/5 with Betfair. Sevilla’s points tally away (23) is almost identical to their home record (26), so they can’t be discounted.

Youssef En-Nesyri was their top goalscorer last season with eight goals and one assist from 31 league games. The 26-year-old is 5/1 with Sky Bet to be First Goalscorer and 9/4 with William Hill to Score Anytime. Rafa Mir, who was joint-second in the scoring charts with six goals from 26 league appearances, is 11/2 with Sky Bet to be First Goalscorer and 5/2 with William Hill to Score Anytime.

Sevilla hasn’t lost to Alaves since 2018, boasting six wins and four draws from their last 10 head-to-heads, so they’re 4/11 with Betfair to Win Or Draw against Alaves. The hosts had the fourth-best defensive record last season, conceding 0.8 goals per game, so Total Away Goals Under 1.5 is 4/9 with Matchbook.

Sevilla had a poor defensive record, shipping 1.4 goals per game on average, so Total Home Goals Over 1.5 is 14/5 with Unibet. Totals Goals Over 2.5 is 17/10 with Matchbook, but five of their last seven head-to-heads have seen a total of two or fewer goals scored. 

Prediction: Alaves 1-2 Sevilla

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